Oct 22 / 21:48 EDT / Prediction markets / Kalshi execution / Deterministic signals / AI risk intelligence

01 Prediction market intelligence platform

/ Runes

Prediction markets price tomorrow’s news today.

Most traders are still reading yesterday’s.

Runes trades Kalshi event contracts with the entry rules, exits, and risk limits you set — so every position follows a plan, not a headline.

Signal

Market context

AI-assisted analysis

Before the event resolves

Entry

Your rules

Automated event contracts

No impulse trades

Exit

Discipline

Exit rules

Set before the trade

Risk

Control

Limits you configure

Paper or live via Kalshi

Supported Algorithms

Sports Bets
Sports Round Of
Sports Total Runs
Sports Flipped Chances
Trump Mentions
Mentions Event Basket
Rates & Treasury Ladders
Macro Economic Releases
Consumer Alternative Data
AI Ecosystem Benchmarks
Financials Intraday Checkpoint
Political Governance

>> // Event Market execution

>> // Contract identity

>> $contract = "Fed Decision";

>> // Fetch Kalshi markets

>> // Evaluate entry conditions

>> // Apply user guardrails

>> // Yes-no decisioning

>> // Enter the contract

>> // Monitor and adapt

Runes in Motion · End-to-end

Watch Runes turn event odds into positioned, risk-managed contracts.

A walkthrough of Runes tracking live event markets, weighing the implied odds against its own read, and opening and managing contracts within your limits. Prediction markets carry risk of total loss. Not investment recommendations.

02 From manual to automated

Algorithmic Trading with Precision & Intelligence.

Embark on your trading journey with Runes, the premier platform for new traders venturing into algorithmic automated trading. Seamlessly transition from manual trading to automated strategies and experience the power of advanced algorithms at your fingertips.

Empowering traders of all levels to navigate the complexities of the market and achieve their financial goals.

Live AI Trade Workflow

The Runes AI Execution Engine

Every 6h

Event Generate Report JSON Map Trade

Mentions

Will Trump say "Trainwreck" before Oct 1, 2026?

Ticker KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01

Expires Oct 1, 2026 10:00 am

This is the live question that starts the workflow: Runes finds the active Mentions event with a matching Gemini signal report before generating the trade direction.

Generating report

Every 6h

The scheduled job pulls a live Mentions event, runs the Gemini signal report, and stores the report that feeds the decision railroad.

Event selected

Mentions market with a matching AI signal report.

Report generated

Gemini prices direction from live market context.

Decision stored

The response carries the JSON the app can execute.

Short Answer

As of August 19, 2026, Donald Trump is highly unlikely to mention any of the listed legacy nicknames before the October 1, 2026 deadline, given his current focus on midterm campaign strategy and active political targets. The optimal strategy is to build a multi-position short by choosing BUY NO on all choices, heavily prioritizing "Crooked Hillary" (CROO) and "Fat Slob" (FAT) due to their significantly inflated YES pricing.

Event Analysis

Now into his second presidential term in 2026, Donald Trump's rhetorical strategy has pivoted entirely toward the upcoming 2026 midterm elections. Legacy targets like Hillary Clinton are no longer politically active or relevant to current races, meaning his use of "Crooked Hillary" has dropped off almost completely outside of occasional historical references. Furthermore, former 2024 campaign opponents like Kamala Harris ("Comrade Kamala") and Tim Walz ("Tampon Tim"), who dropped his gubernatorial bid in early 2026, have faded from the spotlight. Other targets such as Marjorie Taylor Greene ("Marjorie Traitor Greene") have also stepped back from active federal politics after resigning from Congress.

With only about 40 days remaining before the market's expiration on October 1, 2026, Trump's active stump speeches and social media posts are heavily focused on active Democratic candidates and major policy issues. Legacy nicknames such as "Low Energy," "Piggy," or "Rocket Man" are completely obsolete, making the probability of any of these being spoken in a public forum practically zero.

Market Evaluation

Choice	Market Ticker	Model View	Expected Outcome	Trade Direction
Crooked Hillary	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-CROO	Low	Extremely unlikely to be used during current active midterm debates.	BUY NO
Piggy	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-PIGG	Low	Outdated insult with no target in 2026 political rhetoric.	BUY NO
Fat Slob	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-FAT	Low	Extremely unlikely to be uttered by the President before October.	BUY NO
Rocket Man	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-ROCK	Low	Barring sudden foreign policy escalation, this won't be used.	BUY NO
Comrade Kamala	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-COMR	Low	No longer the active presidential rival; Trump has moved on.	BUY NO
Tampon Tim	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-TAMP	Low	Tim Walz is retired from state office and out of national spotlight.	BUY NO
Marjorie Traitor Greene	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-MARJ	Low	Feud has largely cooled since her departure from Congress.	BUY NO
Egghead	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-EGGH	Low	Highly atypical insult that is not part of his current vocabulary.	BUY NO
Low Energy	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-LOWE	Low	Ancient 2016 primary insult with zero relevance to 2026.	BUY NO
Biden Crime Family	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-BIDE	Low	Joe Biden is retired, and Trump's attacks are focused elsewhere.	BUY NO
Little Communist	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-LITT	Low	Trump rarely uses this specific singular variation in current speeches.	BUY NO
Numbskull	KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-NUMB	Low	Extremely low baseline likelihood of usage in public communication.	BUY NO

Market Edge

The absolute best asymmetry lies in Crooked Hillary (CROO), which is priced with a 57–58% probability. Given that she has no political presence in the 2026 midterms, buying NO at 43¢ yields an exceptional risk-adjusted return of 132%. Additionally, the Fat Slob (FAT) contract is overpriced at 33–34%, presenting another low-risk opportunity to short. We exploit the independent multi-outcome choice structure by entering multiple short positions concurrently.

Final Take

Our strategy is to build a multi-position short across these independent markets, prioritizing the highly overpriced "Crooked Hillary" and "Fat Slob" contracts. Because none of these legacy insults align with Trump's current active 2026 midterm messaging, this portfolio of positions represents a highly favorable capital-extraction setup.

AI-generated analysis — may contain errors. Verify independently; not individualized financial or investment advice.

{
    "event_info": {
        "event_ticker": "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01",
        "event_title": "Will Trump say \"Trainwreck\" before Oct 1, 2026?",
        "event_choice_type": "independent_multi_outcome_choice",
        "event_outcome": "None of the legacy nicknames under evaluation are expected to be spoken by Donald Trump before October 1, 2026.",
        "confidence_score": 85,
        "trade_summary": "Buy NO on all evaluated choices, with Crooked Hillary (CROO) offering the strongest mispricing.",
        "justification": "Donald Trump is currently focused on 2026 midterm campaigns and active targets, leaving legacy nicknames like 'Crooked Hillary' (58\u00a2), 'Low Energy', 'Rocket Man', and 'Fat Slob' highly unlikely to be mentioned before October 1, 2026."
    },
    "market_breakdown": {
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-CROO": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-PIGG": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-FAT": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-ROCK": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-COMR": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-TAMP": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-MARJ": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-EGGH": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-LOWE": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-BIDE": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-LITT": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        },
        "KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-NUMB": {
            "market_direction": "buy_no"
        }
    }
}

Structured JSON mapping

Turn language into trade intent.

The JSON is the bridge between the LLM and the algorithmic app: each ticker gets a deterministic direction, then the execution engine can route YES or NO trades without rereading the report.

KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-CROO NO

KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-PIGG NO

KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-FAT NO

KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-ROCK NO

KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-COMR NO

KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-TAMP NO

Trade Entered

Buy No

Buy NO on all evaluated choices, with Crooked Hillary (CROO) offering the strongest mispricing.

Contract KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-CROO

Risk Auto-managed

Monitor Live

03 AI Execution Architecture

Runes Turns Market Intelligence Into Executable Trade Direction.

The report is only the first layer. Runes converts LLM analysis into deterministic instructions the algorithm can price, validate, execute, and monitor.

Market intelligence

Gemini reviews the live event, prices, liquidity, and evidence behind the contract.

Decision rail

Structured output maps each ticker to a YES or NO signal that your algorithm's rules then check. Signal analysis only, not a recommendation.

Controlled execution

The algorithm enters only when direction, sizing, and risk rules align.

SYSTEM VITALS

Profitable / Losses

feed

Contracts Totals

as of Oct 12, 2026

TODAY

0 / 0

closed trades last session

WEEK

0 / 0

week-to-date record

MONTH

0 / 0

month-to-date record

Live results from one internal account, gross of fees. Not representative of customer results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclosures.

EDGE

0%

P/L Rate

net vs gross P&L, last 30 days

SPEED

N/A

Avg Trade Length

average hold, last 30 days

PRECISION

0%

Win Rate

closed trades green, last 30 days

EFFICIENCY

0%

Monthly Balance Change

balance change, month to date

05 Event to contract control

Build Prediction Market Contracts From Live Events.

Runes lets you move from a Kalshi event into its market children, inspect the odds and implied chances, then create the contracts you want to trade. You can build manually through the UI while Runes keeps the position, PnL, and market movement under active monitoring.

Event-first setup

Start from a live event, review its child markets, and choose the exact contracts you want to create.

Manual contract creation

Use the UI to configure YES or NO exposure, sizing, targets, and contract-specific risk rules.

Odds & chance charts

Visualize price, odds, implied probability, volume, and movement across each market child.

P/L Management

Track realized and unrealized PnL, define exits, and keep risk visible as each contract moves.

Market context

Compare contract behavior against event metadata, market state, and live pricing signals.

Dynamic Monitoring

Runes keeps watching created contracts after entry, surfacing changes that matter for execution and risk.

06 Trading psychology

Reflect, learn, and improve with every trade.

Runes isn't just about executing trades; it's about fostering a mindful trading experience. Equip yourself with tools and resources to navigate the emotional challenges of trading, promoting resilience and clear-headed decision-making.

Reflective journals

Capture your trading journey, learn from experiences, and refine your approach with Runes's integrated reflective journaling feature.

Strategy notes

Personalize your trading strategies with detailed notes, ensuring clarity and adaptability in your decision-making process.

Trading reminders

Stay focused and organized with timely reminders, helping you stay on top of important market events and trading tasks.

Message of the day

Start each trading day with a dose of inspiration and motivation from Runes's daily messages, fostering a positive mindset for success.

Check-ins

Maintain accountability and track your progress through regular check-ins, facilitating reflection and continuous improvement in your trading journey.

Max loss shutdown

Protect your investment and manage risk effectively by setting automated shutdown limits to prevent further losses beyond your predefined threshold.

07 100+ features to trade like a pro

100+ features to enable you to trade like a pro.

01 Event algorithms 02 AI & market intel 03 P/L management 04 Risk management 05 Automatic record keeping 06 Community

Sports Bets

Buys soft favorites one to four hours before tip-off or first pitch, then rides established favorites two to three hours into the game.

Sports Flipped Chances

Scans paired sports winner markets for lopsided pricing and takes the less-favored side when the imbalance looks overstretched and liquid enough to trade.

Sports Round Of

Trades same-day tennis round-of markets: heavy favorites before the match, and the underdog side when a favorite has not taken control mid-match.

Sports Total Runs

Targets today's multi-outcome Total Runs markets, entering strikes whose price and momentum sit in a defined sweet spot.

Trump Mentions

Trades independent multi-choice mention markets tied to Trump appearances, filtered for relevance and liquidity.

Mentions Event Basket

Builds baskets of likely YES phrases and high-conviction NO fades around a scheduled speech or interview.

Rates & Treasury Ladders

Combines FOMC rate-decision markets with daily and monthly 2Y, 5Y, 10Y and 30Y Treasury yield strike ladders.

Macro Economic Releases

Trades high-impact releases such as CPI, PCE inflation, initial jobless claims, AAA gas, EIA diesel and TSA passenger volumes.

Consumer Alternative Data

Targets recurring monthly consumer releases including card spend, app downloads, foot traffic and point-of-sale growth.

AI Ecosystem Benchmarks

Covers AI market-share, benchmark leaderboard and GPU hourly-pricing ladder markets (A100, H100, B200).

Financials Intraday Checkpoint

Trades short-cycle index and FX level markets that settle at checkpoints like 10am or 4pm, looking for same-day repricing.

Political Governance

Targets legislation, executive actions, confirmation hearings, government shutdowns and presidential approval milestones.

LLM-driven entries

Algorithms configured with LLM entry conditions hand each event to an LLM, which returns a structured YES/NO signal for each market; your algorithm's rules decide whether to enter. Analysis only, not a recommendation.

Gemini signal reports

Mentions events get a Gemini signal report every six hours using your own API key, ready before your algorithm's rules are checked.

AI contract reviews

Review individual contracts with ChatGPT and Gemini write-ups alongside entry price, velocity and final profit.

LLM decision audit

Every LLM generation, accepted entry and rejected entry is logged to its own activity feed so you can see why a trade did or did not happen.

Kalshi series sweeps

Open events and markets are pulled from Kalshi for the series you follow several times a day, with expired events cleaned up automatically.

Recurring series configs

Add Kalshi series tickers in bulk and Runes keeps tracking their recurring events and markets for the algorithms to evaluate.

Live orderbook snapshots

Orderbooks refresh every 30 minutes across tracked markets and every minute for markets you hold, with snapshots kept for history.

Implied probability

YES/NO prices are read as implied chances from the live orderbook, so favorites and underdogs are picked from current odds, not stale quotes.

Event structure detection

Events are classified as single binary, paired, three-way, cascading ladder or independent multi-outcome, and trades are built to fit each shape.

Event candlesticks

Price candles are collected every 30 minutes for all events and every minute for events with open contracts, then archived nightly.

Profit-target exits

Contracts are checked every two minutes and sold once they reach their profit target percentage.

Take profit on retracement

With take profit enabled, Runes waits until profit passes your dollar target and then exits only when it starts to pull back.

Winning contract capture

Optionally sell contracts that have held a minimum profit for a set number of minutes, so gains are banked before the event turns.

Winning position sweeps

Positions on your Kalshi account with large unrealized gains are swept every minute while markets are open.

Scheduled sells

Schedule exits for a specific time or end of day, in bulk or per position, with support for partial quantities.

One-click liquidation

Liquidate a single contract or many at once from the portfolio, and cancel open orders in the same place.

Settlement reconciliation

Kalshi settlements are fetched hourly to close resolved contracts and record their final P&L.

Fill-verified exits

An exit only closes a contract once Kalshi confirms the fill; partial or unfilled exits stay open and are re-checked.

Average price sync

Entry prices are synced to your Kalshi position's average price so profit percentages reflect what you actually paid.

Per-algorithm spend limits

Each algorithm has its own maximum spend per market, set in your contract configuration.

Performance-based sizing

Spend per trade scales with each algorithm's win rate for the day, from 10% of the limit for cold algorithms up to 170% for hot ones.

Daily loss limit

New algorithm entries stop for the day once today's algorithmic P&L falls below your maximum loss.

Daily order cost cap

Total order cost per day and total active position cost are checked before every new contract is created.

Active contract limits

Limits on open contracts per user and per market ticker and algorithm keep exposure spread out.

Duplicate market protection

Each exact market can hold only one contract, and markets are reserved before ordering so concurrent algorithms cannot double-buy.

Customizable entry conditions

Combine named conditions for probability zones, spreads, volume, open interest, velocity and time to expiry per algorithm.

Bet direction controls

Run an algorithm on the natural side, all YES, all NO or flipped; forced underdog sides are capped at 25% of normal spend.

Orderbook depth checks

Algorithms can inspect orderbook depth and executable quotes before submitting, skipping markets that cannot fill.

Zero-fill cooldowns

Markets that repeatedly fail to fill are put on cooldown, and events Kalshi marks unavailable are skipped.

Safe exit guards

Exits wait until the event is live and are paused when market data is stale or an entry price looks corrupt.

Contract alerts

Entries, exits and failed orders are recorded as contract events and can be sent to your own Discord webhook.

Automated contract logging

Every contract Runes opens is recorded with its algorithm, market, side, entry price, quantity and outcome.

Order sync with Kalshi

Order state is pulled from Kalshi every minute, and resting orders are flipped to active once they fill.

Contract timelines

Key events such as entries, exits, partial fills and sync repairs are kept on each contract's timeline.

Filtered activity feed

Browse activity by entries, exits, settlements, liquidations, failed creations, orphan positions and more.

Portfolio views

Filter positions as winning, losing, stale, stalled or orphaned, with live profit for each.

Algorithm performance charts

Compare profits by algorithm and timeframe, and see each contract's highest profit against its final profit.

Cashflow tracking

Track balance, buying power, intraday cashflow and daily revenue, and set profit goals.

Daily and historical archives

Orders, contract details, orderbooks and candlesticks roll from daily tables into history, so past trades keep their market context.

Event trader feed

Share your read on a game, a Fed decision or a mentions market, and how your YES/NO contracts on Kalshi settled.

Charts & screenshots

Attach odds charts, orderbook screenshots or files to a post to show why you took a side.

Event hashtags & mentions

Tag posts with hashtags like #NFL, #FOMC or #CPI and @mention traders, so takes on the same event stay together.

Scheduled posts

Write your pre-game or pre-release take ahead of time and schedule it to post before the event goes live.

Likes, replies & shares

Like and reply to posts, share them with your followers, or send one straight into a private conversation.

Algorithm forums

Ask how others set odds bands, bet direction, entry price caps and spend limits on the Runes algorithms.

Unanswered & popular threads

Filter forums by unanswered questions, popular this week, your own questions, threads you have joined and favorites.

Direct & group messages

Message a trader one-to-one or start a group to compare picks before an event starts, with file attachments.

Follow traders

Follow event traders whose calls you want to track, see their activity, and get suggestions for who to follow.

08 Got a question? We have answers

Frequently Asked Questions

01 What is Runes, and how does it work?

Runes is an automated prediction market trading platform that allows users to create and execute trading strategies using AI, algorithms, and real-time data. It simplifies trading by automating buy and sell decisions based on predefined criteria.

02 Can I use Runes if I'm new to trading?

Absolutely! Runes is designed for traders of all experience levels. We offer user-friendly features and resources to help beginners get started while providing advanced tools for seasoned traders.

03 What types of strategies can I create on Runes?

Runes supports a wide range of trading strategies, including manual and automated ones. You can set strategies based on technical indicators, price movements, and more to suit your trading style.

04 How do I set up automated buy and sell schedules?

Setting automated buy and sell schedules is easy on Runes. Define your parameters, such as profit targets and stop-loss levels, and let the platform handle the rest.

05 Are there risk management tools available on Runes?

Yes, Runes offers robust risk management features. You can set stop-loss orders, define risk tolerances, and protect your investments while trading.

06 What brokerage is used to execute Runes's trades?

Runes uses Kalshi's APIs for executing buys and sells, ensuring seamless and reliable order execution on the prediction market.

07 Can I receive real-time alerts and notifications?

Absolutely. Runes provides real-time alerts and notifications for strategy events and important market developments, keeping you informed at all times.

08 How can I analyze the performance of my strategies?

Runes offers detailed performance tracking, including statistics and insights. You can analyze profit and loss, strategy efficiency, and historical data to evaluate your strategies.

09 Is my data and account information secure on Runes?

Yes, we prioritize data security. Runes employs industry-standard encryption and security measures to protect your data and account information.

10 How do I get started with Runes?

To get started, sign up for an account on Runes's platform, explore the features, and begin creating and executing your trading strategies. We also offer resources and tutorials to help you on your trading journey.

09 Get started

Ready to embark on your trading journey?

Leverage Runes's ability to bring advanced trading capabilities to regular retail traders and highlight the automation and AI-driven features.

Live trading Start trading like a pro

Paper trading Get your training wheels on

9 apps / 5 markets / AI guided precision

Algorithmic apps / Live

Algorithmic apps

9 algorithmic apps, 5 markets

Production-grade trading apps for stocks, options, forex, crypto, and prediction markets. Each one manages the full trade lifecycle, with risk controls and capital allocation built in.

Core markets Stocks, options, and forex

Neptune Featured Live Trades stocks through the Alpaca API, with risk limits and capital allocation built in. Alpaca·Market hours Open → Orion Live Runs options strategies through the Alpaca API, built around premiums and price movement. Alpaca·Market hours Open → Triton Live Trades currency pairs through the Oanda API, adapting to momentum and shifts in volatility. Oanda·24/5 Open → Hyperion Live Hyperion turns the year’s biggest macro events into ranked investment theses — each traced down to the specific stocks it touches and the milestones that will prove or kill it. Event→Thesis→Stock Open →

Crypto markets 24/7 trading on digital assets

Virgil Live Trades crypto through the Alpaca API, timing entries and exits around momentum and liquidity. Alpaca·24/7 Open → Apollo Live Runs systematic strategies on high-liquidity digital assets through the Coinbase API. Coinbase·24/7 Open → Ceres Coming soon Turns systematic market signals into precise crypto execution through the Oanda API. Oanda·24/7 Open →

Prediction markets 24/7 trading on real-world event outcomes

Runes Live Finds high-return event contracts and acts on them quickly through the Kalshi API. Kalshi·24/7 Open → Delphi Coming soon Monitors and trades event contracts automatically through the Coinbase API. Coinbase·24/7 Open → Pegasus Coming soon Prices event contracts systematically and times each trade through the Polymarket API. Polymarket·24/7 Open →

Investing in financial products involves taking risk. Your investments may increase or decrease in value, and losses may exceed the value of your original investment. Full Disclaimer

10 Simple, transparent pricing

Pricing aligned with your algorithmic trading.

A $5.00/mo access subscription keeps your billing profile active, paired with a 0.5% monthly platform fee on your Kalshi account value. Performance fees (12%) apply only to net realized profit from algorithm contracts closed or settled that month, and only when it is positive.

Access & Platform fee

0.5%

of Kalshi account value / mo + $5.00/mo access

Predictable & transparent infrastructure.

$5.00/mo access keeps payment method on file
Automated algorithmic trading & risk controls
Cancel anytime in-app — no lock-in
Non-custodial — funds stay in your Kalshi account

Start your free trial

Start your 30-Days free trial today. Cancel anytime, no questions asked.

Performance fee

12%

of positive monthly realized profit on algorithm contracts

Profit-driven performance fee.

No positive monthly realized profit → $0 performance fee
ONLY applied to net profit on algorithm contracts closed or settled that month
Open positions and manual contracts excluded

View full fee terms

Fully automated. Completely transparent. Aligned with positive net gains.

11 Get in touch

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