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Empowering traders of all levels to navigate the complexities of the market and achieve their financial goals.
Live AI Trade Workflow
This is the live question that starts the workflow: Runes finds the active Mentions event with a matching Gemini buy insight before generating the trade direction.
Generating report
The scheduled job pulls a live Mentions event, runs the Gemini buy insight, and stores the report that feeds the decision railroad.
Mentions market with a matching AI buy insight.
Gemini prices direction from live market context.
The response carries the JSON the app can execute.
As of Thursday, June 4, 2026 at 4:01 AM UTC, Donald Trump is highly likely to mention affordability, China, Biden, AI, California, and windmills during his scheduled 3:00 PM EDT "Beautiful, Clean Coal" announcement. The best positioning is to BUY YES on these highly probable keywords—especially California, which is heavily mispriced due to targeted Oakland terminal funding—and BUY NO on unrelated topics like Crypto, Ceasefire, and UFC.
President Donald Trump's public schedule for Thursday, June 4, 2026, features a 3:00 PM EDT announcement in the Oval Office focusing on "Beautiful, Clean Coal". Based on official plans and reporting, Trump will unveil a $700 million initiative using Cold War-era Defense Production Act (DPA) authorities to fund coal-fired power plants and export facilities. This policy specifically earmarks $75 million for the proposed West Gateway export terminal in Oakland, California, which makes mentioning "California" a near certainty during the speech.
Furthermore, the Administration's justification for reviving coal is strongly tied to providing reliable power for artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, meaning "AI" is a highly likely mention. Trump’s typical rhetorical style heavily features attacks on "Biden" for his energy policies, discussions on "affordability," competitive framing against "China", and classic energy-related tangents mocking "windmills." Since this is a formal policy announcement in the Oval Office rather than a rally or generic press conference, off-topic discussions about "Crypto," "UFC," or the ongoing "Ceasefire" talks with Iran are highly unlikely to be introduced in his main remarks.
| Choice | Market Ticker | Model View | Expected Outcome | Trade Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-AFFO | High | Highly likely to be mentioned when discussing cheap, reliable energy costs. | BUY YES |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-CRYP | Low | Irrelevant topic for a highly structured energy and coal funding announcement. | BUY NO |
| No Qualifying Event (NQE) | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-NQE | Low | The announcement is officially scheduled and highly likely to take place on time. | BUY NO |
| China / Chinese | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-CHIN | High | Standard reference when highlighting industrial manufacturing and energy competition. | BUY YES |
| Ceasefire | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-CEAS | Low | Foreign policy issue unlikely to cross into a targeted domestic energy announcement. | BUY NO |
| Biden | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-BIDE | High | Expected when attacking previous administration policies and the "war on coal". | BUY YES |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-AI | High | Reviving coal is explicitly framed as necessary to power data centers for AI. | BUY YES |
| California | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-CALI | High | $75 million in DPA funding is specifically designated for an export terminal in Oakland, California. | BUY YES |
| Windmill | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-WIND | High | Trump consistently contrasts reliable baseload coal with windmills. | BUY YES |
| UFC | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-UFC | Low | No structural connection to the industrial coal announcement. | BUY NO |
| Drill Baby Drill | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-DRIL | High | Highly anticipated mention of his signature energy slogan during an energy event. | BUY YES |
| American Flag Blue | KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-AMER | Low | This phrase pertains to his Reflecting Pool project, not the coal initiative. | BUY NO |
The single largest mispricing in this market is California (KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-CALI), which has a Yes Ask of only $0.28. Because $75 million of the planned $700 million funding is going specifically to the West Gateway export terminal in Oakland, California, Trump must describe this destination to justify the spend. There is an incredibly high probability he mentions the state, offering massive asymmetric payoff potential. Furthermore, AI (KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-AI) at $0.52 Yes Ask is underpriced given the administration's active public narrative linking coal revival to powering massive AI data centers.
Our strategy is constructed as an independent_multi_outcome_choice play, exploiting the massive divergence between the market’s generic estimates and the actual policy details of the $700 million coal package. We maximize return by taking high-conviction BUY YES positions on California, AI, and standard rhetorical targets, while simultaneously shorting unrelated filler terms via BUY NO positions to capture robust, multi-legged gains.
{
"event_info": {
"event_ticker": "KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04",
"event_title": "What will Donald Trump say during Announcement on Beautiful, Clean Coal?",
"event_choice_type": "independent_multi_outcome_choice",
"event_outcome": "Trump is highly likely to mention affordability, China, Biden, AI, California, and windmills, while avoiding irrelevant topics.",
"confidence_score": 85,
"trade_summary": "Buy YES on California, AI, Affordability, China, Biden, Windmill, and Drill Baby Drill; Buy NO on Crypto, Ceasefire, UFC, American Flag Blue, and NQE.",
"justification": "The event is a structured announcement on Beautiful, Clean Coal. The core of the announcement includes $700M in funding, notably including a California export terminal (making 'California' heavily mispriced at 28c) and supporting AI data centers. General energy tropes like Windmills, Biden, and China are highly likely to be used, while unrelated terms like Crypto, Ceasefire, and UFC are safe to short."
},
"market_breakdown": {
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-AFFO": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-CRYP": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-NQE": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-CHIN": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-CEAS": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-BIDE": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-AI": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-CALI": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-WIND": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-UFC": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-DRIL": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPMENTION-26JUN04-AMER": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
}
}
}Structured JSON mapping
The JSON is the bridge between the LLM and the algorithmic app: each ticker gets a deterministic direction, then the execution engine can route YES or NO trades without rereading the report.
Trade Entered
Buy YES on California, AI, Affordability, China, Biden, Windmill, and Drill Baby Drill; Buy NO on Crypto, Ceasefire, UFC, American Flag Blue, and NQE.
AI Execution Architecture
The report is only the first layer. Runes converts LLM analysis into deterministic instructions the algorithm can price, validate, execute, and monitor.
Gemini reviews the live event, prices, liquidity, and evidence behind the contract.
Structured output maps each ticker into a deterministic YES or NO instruction.
The algorithm enters only when direction, sizing, and risk rules align.
High-Frequency Execution
Runes's algorithmic engine is built for consistency and precision. Our suite of proprietary trading algorithms provides the metrics and confidence needed for modern institutional-grade adoption.
SYSTEM VITALS
TODAY
20 / 7
live session pulse
WEEK
967 / 202
rolling execution window
MONTH
2,595 / 493
deployed contract count
P/L Rate
win probability calibration
Avg Trade Length
short-duration contract flow
Win Rate
qualified setups closed green
Monthly Balance Change
capital efficiency vs prior month
Event To Contract Control
Runes lets you move from a Kalshi event into its market children, inspect the odds and implied chances, then create the contracts you want to trade. You can build manually through the UI while Runes keeps the position, PnL, and market movement under active monitoring.
Start from a live event, review its child markets, and choose the exact contracts you want to create.
Use the UI to configure YES or NO exposure, sizing, targets, and contract-specific risk rules.
Visualize price, odds, implied probability, volume, and movement across each market child.
Track realized and unrealized PnL, define exits, and keep risk visible as each contract moves.
Compare contract behavior against event metadata, market state, and live pricing signals.
Runes keeps watching created contracts after entry, surfacing changes that matter for execution and risk.
Trading Psychology
Runes isn't just about executing trades; it's about fostering a mindful trading experience. Equip yourself with tools and resources to navigate the emotional challenges of trading, promoting resilience and clear-headed decision-making.
Capture your trading journey, learn from experiences, and refine your approach with Runes's integrated reflective journaling feature.
Personalize your trading contracts with detailed notes, ensuring clarity and adaptability in your decision-making process.
Stay focused and organized with timely reminders, helping you stay on top of important market events and trading tasks.
Start each trading day with a dose of inspiration and motivation from Runes's daily messages, fostering a positive mindset for success.
Maintain accountability and track your progress through regular check-ins, facilitating reflection and continuous improvement in your trading journey.
Protect your investment and manage risk effectively by setting automated shutdown limits to prevent further losses beyond your predefined threshold.
Runes is an automated stock trading platform that allows users to create and execute trading contracts using AI, algorithms, and real-time data. It simplifies trading by automating buy and sell decisions based on predefined criteria.
Absolutely! Runes is designed for traders of all experience levels. We offer user-friendly features and resources to help beginners get started while providing advanced tools for seasoned traders.
Runes supports a wide range of trading contracts, including manual and automated ones. You can set contracts based on technical indicators, price movements, and more to suit your trading style.
Setting automated buy and sell schedules is easy on Runes. Simply define your parameters, such as profit targets and stop-loss levels, and let the platform handle the rest.
Yes, Runes offers robust risk management features. You can set stop-loss orders, define risk tolerances, and protect your investments while trading.
Runes uses Kalshi's Markets APIs for executing buys and sells, ensuring seamless and reliable order execution in the market.
Absolutely. Runes provides real-time alerts and notifications for contract events and important market developments, keeping you informed at all times.
Runes offers detailed performance tracking, including statistics and insights. You can analyze profit and loss, contract efficiency, and historical data to evaluate your contracts.
Yes, we prioritize data security. Runes employs industry-standard encryption and security measures to protect your data and account information.
To get started, sign up for an account on Runes's platform, explore the features, and begin creating and executing your trading contracts. We also offer resources and tutorials to help you on your trading journey.
Leverage Runes's ability to bring advanced trading capabilities to regular retail traders and highlight the automation and AI-driven features.
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